U.S. oil costs slide after IEA casts doubt over demand outlook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – U.S. oil costs tumbled on Wednesday, persevering with Tuesday’s slide after the Worldwide Power Company (IEA) forged doubts over the previous few months’ narrative of a tightening gasoline market.

A pump jack is seen at dawn close to Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Picture

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $55.10 per barrel, down 60 cents, or over 1 %.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 have been but to commerce.

Tuesday’s and Wednesday’s falls imply that Brent is now down by virtually 5 % since hitting 2015 highs every week in the past, ending a greater than 40-percent rise between July and early November.

“Crude oil costs fell sharply after the IEA raised doubts in regards to the outlook for 2018,” ANZ financial institution stated on Wednesday.

The Worldwide Power Company (IEA) on Tuesday minimize its oil demand progress forecast by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) for this 12 months and subsequent, to an estimated 1.5 million bpd in 2017 and 1.three million bpd in 2018.

“Utilizing a situation whereby present ranges of OPEC manufacturing are maintained, the oil market faces a tough problem in 1Q18 with provide anticipated to exceed demand by 600,000 bpd adopted by one other, smaller, surplus of 200,000 bpd in 2Q18,” the company stated.

The slowdown in demand progress might imply world oil consumption could not, as many count on, breach 100 million bpd subsequent 12 months, whereas provides are prone to exceed that degree.

(For a graphic on ‘World crude oil provide & demand stability’ click on reut.rs/2zCLx75)

The IEA report countered the Group of the Petroleum Exporting International locations, which only a day earlier stated 2018 would see a robust rise in oil demand.

Greg McKenna of futures brokerage AxiTrader stated costs have been dragged down as “present demand will fall and long run the expansion of U.S. oil manufacturing will eclipse something we’ve seen earlier than – together with the Saudis and Russians”.

U.S. oil manufacturing C-OUT-T-EIA has already elevated by greater than 14 % since mid-2016 to 9.62 million bpd. The most recent authorities knowledge is due on Wednesday.

Led by U.S. output, the IEA stated non-OPEC manufacturing will add 1.four million bpd of further manufacturing in 2018.

Merchants stated the IEA’s outlook would put strain on producer membership OPEC to maintain restraining output as a way to defend crude costs, which most its members depend on for income.

OPEC and a few non-OPEC producers together with Russia have been withholding crude manufacturing this 12 months to finish years of oversupply.

The deal is because of expire in March 2018, however OPEC will meet on Nov. 30 to debate coverage, and it’s anticipated to agree an extension of the cuts.

Reporting by Henning Gloystein; Enhancing by Joseph Radford

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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