Oil costs fall on pipeline restart, uncertainty over OPEC output cuts

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Oil costs slipped in Asian commerce on Tuesday amid uncertainty over a potential extension of output cuts by main crude producers and expectations of upper provide because the Keystone pipeline restarts.

FILE PHOTO – A pump jack is seen at dawn close to Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Picture

Brent futures LCOc1 had fallen to $63.65 a barrel by 0427 GMT, down 19 cents, or zero.three p.c, from their earlier shut.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures CLc1 had been down 35 cents, or zero.6 p.c, at $57.76 a barrel, after falling 1.four p.c within the final session.

U.S. crude touched $59.05 a barrel on Friday, the best degree since mid-2015, fueled by the outage of the Keystone pipeline, one among Canada’s predominant crude export routes to the USA.

However TransCanada Corp (TRP.TO) this week mentioned it will restart the 590,000 barrel-per-day pipeline at lowered stress in a while Tuesday after getting approval from U.S. regulators.

Uncertainty over Russia’s willpower to affix with different main oil producers in extending crude manufacturing curbs past subsequent March has weighed on oil markets.

Members of the Group of the Petroleum Exporting Nations (OPEC) and different key producers, together with Russia, will meet on Nov. 30 to debate whether or not to proceed with the cuts after they agreed final January to withhold 1.eight million bpd of output.

Russia’s economic system was negatively affected in October by the continuing curbs, which noticed Moscow agree to chop output by 300,000 bpd, Economic system Minister Maxim Oreshkin mentioned on Nov. 23.

Goldman Sachs [GSGSC.UL] mentioned the result of the assembly was “rather more unsure than typical”, including that the market confronted draw back dangers.

“We view dangers to grease costs as skewed to draw back this week as we imagine present costs, timespreads and positioning already replicate a excessive chance of a nine-month extension,” the financial institution mentioned.

Consultancy Wooden Mackenzie mentioned it seemed as if producers had almost concluded an settlement to increase cuts till the top of subsequent yr.

“(However) if the manufacturing lower settlement ends in March 2018, our forecast exhibits there can be a projected 2.four million bpd year-on-year enhance in world oil provide for 2018,” Ann-Louise Hittle, vice chairman, macro oils, mentioned in a word on Monday.

Some merchants are additionally beginning to contemplate the likelihood that whereas producers will agree to increase the curbs, the dimensions of the output cuts will likely be lowered from the present 1.eight million bpd, mentioned Ric Spooner at Sydney’s CMC Markets.

“This can be a logical transfer for OPEC. It could present continued certainty for the market, avoiding the sharp sell-off that would accompany a chilly turkey exit,” he mentioned.

“On the identical time it will mitigate the danger to OPEC and Russia of precipitating additional lack of market share by encouraging opponents with larger costs.”

Reporting by Keith Wallis; Enhancing by Joseph Radford

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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